Jacksonville, FLNorth Florida's port-and-logistics metro with Sun Belt prices and insurance pressure
Sources: FHFA House Price Index (ATNHPIUS27260Q), U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey and Population Estimates, BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics — retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2BR Fair Market Rent from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. SunBeltPulse is independent and not affiliated with any of these agencies.
Sourced, dated figures for Jacksonville — cite freely.
Side-by-side stats, charts & AI analysis
Jacksonville — quarterly, Q3 2016 – Q2 2026 · 40 quarters
FHFA House Price Index for Jacksonville moved from 223.3 in 2016-Q3 to 458.9 in 2026-Q2 across 40 quarters of data.
| Quarter | Jacksonville |
|---|---|
| 2016-Q3 | 223.3 |
| 2016-Q4 | 226.3 |
| 2017-Q1 | 228.5 |
| 2017-Q2 | 235.7 |
| 2017-Q3 | 240.1 |
| 2017-Q4 | 245.3 |
| 2018-Q1 | 248.7 |
| 2018-Q2 | 254.4 |
| 2018-Q3 | 261.6 |
| 2018-Q4 | 261.3 |
| 2019-Q1 | 265.1 |
| 2019-Q2 | 271.1 |
| 2019-Q3 | 272.3 |
| 2019-Q4 | 278.0 |
| 2020-Q1 | 280.3 |
| 2020-Q2 | 285.3 |
| 2020-Q3 | 289.6 |
| 2020-Q4 | 297.0 |
| 2021-Q1 | 307.1 |
| 2021-Q2 | 326.6 |
| 2021-Q3 | 351.9 |
| 2021-Q4 | 370.4 |
| 2022-Q1 | 387.0 |
| 2022-Q2 | 416.7 |
| 2022-Q3 | 436.4 |
| 2022-Q4 | 427.1 |
| 2023-Q1 | 431.0 |
| 2023-Q2 | 439.4 |
| 2023-Q3 | 437.2 |
| 2023-Q4 | 436.7 |
| 2024-Q1 | 442.6 |
| 2024-Q2 | 444.7 |
| 2024-Q3 | 456.0 |
| 2024-Q4 | 449.4 |
| 2025-Q1 | 453.1 |
| 2025-Q2 | 458.4 |
| 2025-Q3 | 455.5 |
| 2025-Q4 | 459.9 |
| 2026-Q1 | 464.8 |
| 2026-Q2 | 458.9 |
Jacksonville — new private housing units authorized, monthly, Oct 2024 – Sep 2026 · 24 readings
Monthly building permits authorized in Jacksonville over 24 months (Oct 2024 – Sep 2026). Range: 613 to 1,702. Latest reading: 879.
| Month | Permits authorized |
|---|---|
| Oct 24 | 1,437 |
| Nov 24 | 785 |
| Dec 24 | 1,064 |
| Jan 25 | 1,065 |
| Feb 25 | 910 |
| Mar 25 | 1,552 |
| Apr 25 | 1,070 |
| May 25 | 1,194 |
| Jun 25 | 1,076 |
| Jul 25 | 1,357 |
| Aug 25 | 1,343 |
| Sep 25 | 1,140 |
| Oct 25 | 1,124 |
| Nov 25 | 613 |
| Dec 25 | 701 |
| Jan 26 | 647 |
| Feb 26 | 736 |
| Mar 26 | 940 |
| Apr 26 | 1,432 |
| May 26 | 869 |
| Jun 26 | 1,541 |
| Jul 26 | 844 |
| Aug 26 | 1,702 |
| Sep 26 | 879 |
Jacksonville — BLS LAUS, monthly, Sep 2024 – Sep 2026 · 24 readings
Unemployment rate in Jacksonville, Sep 2024 – Sep 2026 · 24 monthly readings. Range: 3.2% to 5.2%. Latest reading: 4.5%.
| Month | Unemployment rate (%) |
|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 3.5% |
| Oct 24 | 3.5% |
| Nov 24 | 3.6% |
| Dec 24 | 3.2% |
| Jan 25 | 3.7% |
| Feb 25 | 3.6% |
| Mar 25 | 3.6% |
| Apr 25 | 3.5% |
| May 25 | 3.7% |
| Jun 25 | 4.2% |
| Jul 25 | 4.3% |
| Aug 25 | 4.4% |
| Sep 25 | 4.4% |
| Nov 25 | 5.1% |
| Dec 25 | 4.7% |
| Jan 26 | 5.2% |
| Feb 26 | 5.0% |
| Mar 26 | 4.7% |
| Apr 26 | 4.8% |
| May 26 | 4.7% |
| Jun 26 | 4.8% |
| Jul 26 | 4.9% |
| Aug 26 | 4.8% |
| Sep 26 | 4.5% |
Latest figures: FHFA HPI +0.1% YoY, -1.3% QoQ (Q2 2026); unemployment 4.5% (Sep 2026); population +1.49% YoY (2025). Pandemic run-up on the same index: +55.7% from Q1 2020 to its Q3 2022 peak, then -2.1% to Q4 2022.
Jacksonville offers one of the more affordable entry points in Florida, supported by the Port of Jacksonville, a large Navy presence, and a deep financial-services employment base. Florida's property-insurance crisis, at its sharpest from 2021 to 2023, raised carrying costs here as well, though Jacksonville's hurricane risk profile is somewhat lower than South Florida's. Its fastest appreciation of the past decade came in the 2020–2022 run-up on the FHFA index.
Figures from FHFA House Price Index (ATNHPIUS27260Q), U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits and Population Estimates, and BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics (retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis), plus HUD Fair Market Rents, refreshed with each release. The analysis is editorial, dated above, and names any third-party source it cites.
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The River City
The River City on the St. Johns
Total jobs
805K
BLS CES · curated Aug 2026
Unemployment
4.5%
BLS LAUS · Sep 2026
Job growth YoY
+0.2%
BLS CES · curated Aug 2026
Median HH income
$82K
Census ACS 2024, metro area
Share of total nonfarm employment
Metro-area headcount estimates
Naval Air Station Jacksonville & Mayport
MilitaryBaptist Health
HealthcareDuval County Public Schools
EducationAmazon
LogisticsMayo Clinic Florida
HealthcareBank of America
FinanceFlorida Blue
FinanceUF Health Jacksonville
HealthcareCiti
FinanceCSX Transportation
LogisticsA Navy, logistics, and financial-services-back-office town — the most affordable large Florida metro with broad mid-wage hiring.
If you're moving to Jacksonville, three legs carry the economy. The Navy: the third-largest US base complex between NAS Jacksonville, Mayport, and Kings Bay just across the Georgia line. Logistics: the Port of Jacksonville, CSX's headquarters, and a dense warehouse corridor. Financial services back-office: Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, and Fidelity all run major Jacksonville operations centers. Healthcare (Baptist Health, Mayo Clinic, UF Health) anchors the rest. It's the cheapest large Florida metro on this list.
Target financial operations, nursing and clinical roles, logistics coordination, and defense contracting. The metro lacks Tampa's corporate HQ depth and Orlando's tourism scale, but wages track a lower cost base so net-effective income holds up reasonably well. Hurricane-driven insurance pressure is real but milder than coastal South Florida — still worth pricing insurance before you commit. Unemployment tracks close to the state average.
Timing: Amazon's 1M-square-foot fulfillment center added 1,000 jobs. Mayo Clinic's $432M Jacksonville expansion adds 1,200 clinical and research roles through 2028, and Johnson & Johnson Vision committed over $1B in 2026 to advanced manufacturing at its Southside campus. FIS's Future Forward restructuring cut several hundred local roles in 2024 — a flag if you're aiming at that specific employer. Hiring breadth has narrowed since the 2021–22 boom (the job-growth tile above carries the current rate), but for movers prioritising affordability, Jacksonville still quietly punches above its reputation.
Recent corporate moves
Amazon
ExpansionOpened a new 1M-square-foot fulfillment center in north Jacksonville adding approximately 1,000 full-time roles.
Mayo Clinic Florida
ExpansionAdvanced a $432M expansion of its Jacksonville campus adding a new hospital tower and roughly 1,200 clinical and research jobs by 2028.
Redwire Space
ExpansionExpanded Jacksonville headquarters and manufacturing to 158,000 square feet, adding roughly 300 aerospace engineering jobs.
FIS
LayoffsCut several hundred Jacksonville-based roles through its Future Forward restructuring after spinning off Worldpay.
Swisher
ExpansionAnnounced a $135M expansion of its Jacksonville manufacturing campus in March 2026, creating 240 full-time jobs with at least 60 reserved for nearby Eastside residents.
Johnson & Johnson Vision
ExpansionCommitted more than $1B in June 2026 to a new distribution facility and advanced manufacturing at its Southside campus, with operations beginning in 2028; the capital-heavy project adds only about ten net new jobs.
Source: NOAA NCEI, retrieved Oct 2026
Days ≥ 100°F
1
Extreme-heat days per year
Days ≥ 90°F
80
Hot days per year
Days ≤ 32°F
14
Freezing days per year
Annual precip
53.4"
114 rainy days/year
Jacksonville — 1991-2020 normals · Jacksonville Intl Airport
Jacksonville monthly climate normals. Average highs range from 66°F to 92°F (hottest: Jul at 92°F). Average lows range from 43°F to 73°F (coldest: Jan at 43°F). Total annual precipitation: 53.4".
| Month | Avg high (°F) | Avg low (°F) | Precipitation (") |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 66 | 43 | 3.28 |
| Feb | 69 | 46 | 2.86 |
| Mar | 74 | 51 | 3.29 |
| Apr | 80 | 56 | 2.93 |
| May | 86 | 64 | 3.42 |
| Jun | 90 | 71 | 7.6 |
| Jul | 92 | 73 | 6.77 |
| Aug | 91 | 73 | 6.88 |
| Sep | 87 | 71 | 7.56 |
| Oct | 81 | 62 | 4.03 |
| Nov | 73 | 51 | 2 |
| Dec | 68 | 46 | 2.78 |
Cfa · Humid subtropical
Hazard levels are editorial ratings aggregated from FEMA, USDA wildfire risk, NOAA storm tracks, and NWS hail climatology. Not insurance or investment advice.
Milder humidity than South Florida and a northern subtropical feel — but a proven hurricane and St. Johns River flooding risk.
Jacksonville's location at Florida's northern edge gives it four more distinct seasons than the peninsula south — winter nights regularly dip into the 40s, January highs average near 66°F, and occasional hard freezes occur. Summers are long, humid, and hot (July highs near 92°F, dewpoints in the low-to-mid 70s), though ocean breezes temper the afternoon punch. Afternoon thunderstorms, lightning, and coastal flooding are daily June-to-October realities. The St. Johns River, flowing north through downtown, is both a landscape asset and the city's chief flood vulnerability.
Practical considerations for movers: Hurricane Matthew (2016) and Hurricane Irma (2017) both hit hard, with Irma producing the worst flooding in Jacksonville's 250-year history. The St. Johns River, uniquely among major U.S. rivers, flows northward, which means strong southerly winds can back water up against its tidal mouth and flood riverfront neighborhoods that are nowhere near the ocean. Flood-insurance analysis at the parcel level is essential. Florida's homeowners insurance crisis applies here too, though premiums are generally lower than Tampa or Miami.
Grid restoration after major storms has run 3–10 days. Beaches, historic Springfield, Riverside, and other low-lying neighborhoods face the most consistent flood exposure; higher elevations on the westside and in the southern suburbs are more resilient. Climate projections show sea-level rise accelerating the tidal component of compound flooding, meaning the floors for 'moderate' storms will keep rising. Jacksonville's overall climate risk is meaningful but lower than most Florida metros — a genuine middle ground.
Historical edge scenarios
Hurricane Irma — worst flooding in 250 years
Irma passed west of Jacksonville on September 11, 2017, but its onshore winds backed up the St. Johns River to record crests: 5.57 feet at Main Street Bridge. Riverside and downtown flooded in what officials called the worst flooding in the city's 250-year history; 250,000+ lost power.
Hurricane Matthew storm surge
Matthew scraped the Jacksonville coast on October 7, 2016, with 82 mph gusts recorded at Fort Caroline and peak storm surge of 9 feet at Fernandina Beach. Major dune breaches occurred at Washington Oaks and Summer Haven. Over 1 million Floridians lost power; A1A sustained heavy damage.
Hurricane Idalia coastal flooding
Idalia made a Category 4 landfall in Florida's Big Bend on August 30, 2023. Jacksonville experienced 7–10 feet of storm surge in coastal areas; Memorial Park in Riverside and parts of Historic Springfield flooded. JEA reported 13,695 outages; statewide damages reached $3.5 billion.
Neighbourhoods
Where people actually live — from historic bungalows to new-build cul-de-sacs.
Jacksonville's urban neighbourhoods are among the most underpriced character pockets in Florida. Riverside and Avondale, southwest of downtown on the St. Johns River's west bank, are the standout: two National Register historic districts of bungalows and Craftsman homes, a walkable Five Points commercial strip dense with independent restaurants and boutiques, and prices below comparable historic neighbourhoods in Tampa or Orlando. San Marco, across the river from downtown on the south bank, mirrors that appeal — Mediterranean Revival architecture, a walkable San Marco Square, and river views at a slight premium to Riverside. Springfield, just north of downtown, is the urban pioneer story: a National Register district with some of Jacksonville's oldest housing stock, decades of renovation, and prices that still reflect a neighbourhood in progress.
St. Johns County's schools sit consistently at or near the top of Florida's annual district grades. Ponte Vedra Beach on the barrier island is the prestige address, but Nocatee (a master-planned community inland of the beach) and the St. Augustine suburbs further south offer more accessible price points within the same county. Mandarin in south Jacksonville is the established suburban pick: mature trees, river access, and decades of stable demand inside Duval County.
The value plays: Arlington on the east side for mid-century single-family stock with direct downtown commuter access, and the southwest corridor from Argyle Forest (Duval) into Oakleaf Plantation (mostly Clay County) for larger tract homes at lower prices per square foot than the beaches or St. Johns County.
As of Q2 2026, home prices in Jacksonville rose 0.1% over the past year and slipped 1.3% in the most recent quarter. Prices remain above year-ago levels, though the recent quarterly dip points to softening momentum. Source: FHFA All-Transactions House Price Index (ATNHPIUS27260Q), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
The HUD Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom in the Jacksonville metro is $1,694 per month (FY2027). HUD publishes Fair Market Rents annually as the benchmark for housing voucher payment standards — they reflect typical asking rents for modest, standard-quality units in the area. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.
Jacksonville is growing — population rose 1.49% year-over-year; the 2025 Census estimate puts the metro at 1,785,500 residents. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
The Jacksonville metro unemployment rate was 4.5% in September 2026 — a softening reading, above the national 4.0% (BLS, September 2026). Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; national rate: BLS Current Population Survey, retrieved from FRED.
Builders pulled permits for roughly 879 new private housing units in Jacksonville in September 2026, running sharply lower than a year earlier (-22.9%). Source: U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
About 8.6 cents of every dollar a first-year owner of the median Jacksonville home pays (principal, interest, property tax and insurance) becomes equity, at the 7.18% 30-year rate of the week of Nov 5, 2026 with 10% down. Interest takes the largest share, and property tax plus insurance come to 3.40 times the first year's principal. Sources: Census ACS 2024 median home value and real-estate taxes; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®; Insurify 2026 premium estimate. See Jacksonville against all 12 metros in our mortgage guide
Tracking a move beyond Jacksonville? Every metro profile carries the same FHFA, Census, BLS, and HUD data, refreshed with each release.
Data sources: FHFA House Price Index (ATNHPIUS27260Q), U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey and Population Estimates, BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics — retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2BR Fair Market Rent from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. SunBeltPulse is independent and not affiliated with any of these agencies. Statistics represent metro-area figures and are updated monthly. Not financial or investment advice.